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Tarik Skubal trade odds surge as Dodgers, Brewers emerge as favorites

3 weeks ago 13

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Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal throws against the Kansas City Royals during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, July 24, 2026, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya) Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal throws against the Kansas City Royals during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, July 24, 2026, in Detroit. AP Photo/Paul Sancya

Tarik Skubal’s days in a Tigers uniform may be numbered.

With the MLB trade deadline just days away, the star southpaw’s chances of being dealt are steadily increasing, according to Kalshi.

As Detroit struggles to remain in the postseason race, Skubal’s chances of staying with the franchise through the deadline have dropped to just 13 percent — meaning the market gives him an 87 percent chance of being traded.

As recently as a week ago, there was a 20 percent chance that Skubal would remain in the Motor City.

Meanwhile, two National League contenders are gaining steam in the race for the two-time Cy Young Award winner.

The Dodgers, who are seeking a third straight World Series title, are the heavy favorites, with a 38 percent chance of landing Skubal.

Earlier this week, MLB insider Ken Rosenthal cited the Dodgers as a potential suitor for Skubal, pointing to Shohei Ohtani’s recent injury scare as one reason Los Angeles could pursue additional rotation help.

Tarik Skubal next team odds

TeamOdds
Los Angeles Dodgers38 percent
Milwaukee Brewers21 percent
Detroit Tigers11 percent
Tampa Bay Rays10 percent
New York Yankees9 percent
Chicago Cubs8 percent
Philadelphia Phillies6 percent
Atlanta Braves5 percent
Data via Kalshi, and current as of July 29.

But they have some competition.

The Brewers have emerged as a dark-horse candidate to acquire Skubal, with a 21 percent chance on Kalshi — the second-highest odds among the potential destinations.

Tarik Skubal, a baseball pitcher, stands on the mound in his uniform, holding his glove and cap.Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal tips his hat after his 1,000th career strikeout during the first inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday, July 29, 2026, in Detroit. AP Photo/Paul Sancya

Milwaukee is tied with the Dodgers for the best record in baseball at 67-40 entering Wednesday’s action and is looking to get over the hump after several postseason flameouts in recent years.

The Rays and Yankees remain in the mix at 10 percent and 9 percent, respectively, while no other team has odds higher than 8 percent.


Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting


Skubal may have made his final start for the Tigers on Wednesday, tossing 6 2/3 innings while allowing three runs and striking out six.

The ace left-hander has made it known that he plans to test the open market when he becomes a free agent this offseason.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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